What is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's reported free cash flow gives $73.92 per share. The share price was $210.97 on September 25, 2026, 185% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $45.89 | -78% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $73.92 | -65% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $126.11 | -40% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $95.14 | $101.76 | $109.85 | $119.96 | $132.96 |
| 8.0% | $79.20 | $83.49 | $88.56 | $94.65 | $102.09 |
| 9.0% | $67.60 | $70.53 | $73.92 | $77.87 | $82.54 |
| 10.0% | $58.80 | $60.89 | $63.25 | $65.96 | $69.07 |
| 11.0% | $51.92 | $53.45 | $55.16 | $57.08 | $59.26 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (118.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions