What is Crane Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Crane Co's reported free cash flow gives $82.79 per share. The share price was $206.83 on September 25, 2026, 150% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.0% | 10.0% | $46.57 | -77% |
| Base | 3.0% | 9.0% | $82.79 | -60% |
| Bull | 8.0% | 8.0% | $150.43 | -27% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $108.37 | $116.11 | $125.58 | $137.40 | $152.61 |
| 8.0% | $89.34 | $94.36 | $100.29 | $107.41 | $116.11 |
| 9.0% | $75.40 | $78.83 | $82.79 | $87.41 | $92.87 |
| 10.0% | $64.76 | $67.20 | $69.97 | $73.13 | $76.78 |
| 11.0% | $56.38 | $58.17 | $60.17 | $62.42 | $64.97 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Crane Co's revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (2.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions