What is Coty Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Coty Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $4.15 per share. The share price was $4.33 on November 10, 2026, 4% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $1.47 | -66% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $4.15 | -4% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $9.38 | +117% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $6.06 | $6.65 | $7.36 | $8.24 | $9.38 |
| 8.0% | $4.64 | $5.02 | $5.46 | $6.00 | $6.65 |
| 9.0% | $3.60 | $3.85 | $4.15 | $4.50 | $4.91 |
| 10.0% | $2.80 | $2.98 | $3.19 | $3.43 | $3.70 |
| 11.0% | $2.17 | $2.31 | $2.46 | $2.63 | $2.82 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Coty Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions