What is Traeger, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Traeger, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $1.94 per share. The share price was $66.85 on November 10, 2026, 3,347% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -4.5% | 10.0% | $1.40 | -98% |
| Base | 0.5% | 9.0% | $1.94 | -97% |
| Bull | 5.5% | 8.0% | $2.98 | -96% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $2.31 | $2.42 | $2.56 | $2.73 | $2.95 |
| 8.0% | $2.04 | $2.11 | $2.19 | $2.30 | $2.42 |
| 9.0% | $1.83 | $1.88 | $1.94 | $2.01 | $2.08 |
| 10.0% | $1.68 | $1.71 | $1.75 | $1.80 | $1.85 |
| 11.0% | $1.56 | $1.58 | $1.61 | $1.64 | $1.68 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Traeger, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (0.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions