What is Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $22.59 per share. The share price was $42.01 on November 10, 2026, 86% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 3.0% | 10.0% | $9.54 | -77% |
| Base | 8.0% | 9.0% | $22.59 | -46% |
| Bull | 13.0% | 8.0% | $46.93 | +12% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $32.09 | $35.01 | $38.58 | $43.03 | $48.76 |
| 8.0% | $24.99 | $26.88 | $29.12 | $31.80 | $35.08 |
| 9.0% | $19.80 | $21.10 | $22.59 | $24.33 | $26.39 |
| 10.0% | $15.85 | $16.77 | $17.82 | $19.01 | $20.38 |
| 11.0% | $12.75 | $13.43 | $14.18 | $15.03 | $15.99 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (7.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions