What is Columbia Sportswear Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Columbia Sportswear Co's reported free cash flow gives $83.00 per share. The share price was $72.26 on November 10, 2026, 13% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.5% | 10.0% | $53.36 | -26% |
| Base | 6.5% | 9.0% | $83.00 | +15% |
| Bull | 11.5% | 8.0% | $142.08 | +97% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $104.89 | $111.57 | $119.74 | $129.95 | $143.07 |
| 8.0% | $88.55 | $92.89 | $98.01 | $104.15 | $111.67 |
| 9.0% | $76.61 | $79.58 | $83.00 | $86.99 | $91.70 |
| 10.0% | $67.52 | $69.63 | $72.02 | $74.75 | $77.90 |
| 11.0% | $60.37 | $61.92 | $63.64 | $65.59 | $67.79 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Columbia Sportswear Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions