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Stocks COHU DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Cohu Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Cohu Inc's reported free cash flow gives $1.70 per share. The share price was $43.33 on November 10, 2026, 2,447% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$10.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$54.5M
Cash
$272.3M
balance sheet of September 26, 2026
Debt
$302.1M
balance sheet of September 26, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
46,723,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-6.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%$0.85-98%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$1.70-96%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$3.29-92%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$2.27$2.44$2.64$2.90$3.22
8.0%$1.85$1.96$2.09$2.24$2.43
9.0%$1.54$1.62$1.70$1.80$1.92
10.0%$1.30$1.36$1.42$1.48$1.56
11.0%$1.12$1.15$1.20$1.25$1.30

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Cohu Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-6.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Cohu Inc company page