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Stocks COHU DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Cohu Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Cohu Inc's reported free cash flow gives $0.70 per share. The share price was $67.00 on September 25, 2026, 9,500% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$10.7M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$54.5M
Cash
$219.6M
balance sheet of June 27, 2026
Debt
$296.2M
balance sheet of June 27, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
46,723,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-6.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%-$0.16-100%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$0.70-99%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$2.29-97%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$1.27$1.43$1.64$1.89$2.22
8.0%$0.85$0.96$1.08$1.24$1.43
9.0%$0.54$0.61$0.70$0.80$0.92
10.0%$0.30$0.35$0.41$0.48$0.56
11.0%$0.11$0.15$0.19$0.24$0.30

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Cohu Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-6.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Cohu Inc company page