What is Core Molding Technologies Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Core Molding Technologies Inc's reported free cash flow gives $5.31 per share. The share price was $23.21 on September 25, 2026, 337% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $3.82 | -84% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $5.31 | -77% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $8.21 | -65% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $6.37 | $6.69 | $7.09 | $7.58 | $8.21 |
| 8.0% | $5.58 | $5.79 | $6.03 | $6.33 | $6.69 |
| 9.0% | $5.00 | $5.14 | $5.31 | $5.50 | $5.73 |
| 10.0% | $4.56 | $4.66 | $4.77 | $4.91 | $5.06 |
| 11.0% | $4.21 | $4.28 | $4.37 | $4.46 | $4.57 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Core Molding Technologies Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions