What is Core Molding Technologies Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Core Molding Technologies Inc's reported free cash flow gives $3.98 per share. The share price was $22.66 on November 10, 2026, 469% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -0.5% | 10.0% | $2.49 | -89% |
| Base | 4.5% | 9.0% | $3.98 | -82% |
| Bull | 9.5% | 8.0% | $6.89 | -70% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $5.05 | $5.37 | $5.76 | $6.26 | $6.89 |
| 8.0% | $4.25 | $4.46 | $4.71 | $5.01 | $5.37 |
| 9.0% | $3.68 | $3.82 | $3.98 | $4.18 | $4.40 |
| 10.0% | $3.23 | $3.34 | $3.45 | $3.58 | $3.73 |
| 11.0% | $2.89 | $2.96 | $3.04 | $3.14 | $3.24 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Core Molding Technologies Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions