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What is Compass Minerals International Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Compass Minerals International Inc's reported free cash flow gives $38.25 per share. The share price was $22.62 on September 25, 2026, 41% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$128M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$11.9M
Cash
$56.3M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$728.1M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
41,828,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
4.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-0.5%0.5%2.0%10.0%$17.54-22%
Base4.5%3.5%2.5%9.0%$38.25+69%
Bull9.5%6.5%3.0%8.0%$78.59+247%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$53.01$57.49$62.96$69.81$78.60
8.0%$42.02$44.92$48.35$52.47$57.51
9.0%$33.98$35.96$38.25$40.93$44.09
10.0%$27.84$29.26$30.86$32.69$34.80
11.0%$23.01$24.05$25.21$26.51$27.98

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Compass Minerals International Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Compass Minerals International Inc company page