What is Celestica Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Celestica Inc's reported free cash flow gives $127.95 per share. The share price was $365.44 on September 25, 2026, 186% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $76.81 | -79% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $127.95 | -65% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $223.16 | -39% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $166.66 | $178.73 | $193.48 | $211.93 | $235.64 |
| 8.0% | $137.58 | $145.40 | $154.66 | $165.76 | $179.33 |
| 9.0% | $116.42 | $121.77 | $127.95 | $135.15 | $143.66 |
| 10.0% | $100.37 | $104.18 | $108.49 | $113.42 | $119.11 |
| 11.0% | $87.82 | $90.61 | $93.73 | $97.24 | $101.21 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Celestica Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions