What is Celestica Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Celestica Inc's reported free cash flow gives $157.35 per share. The share price was $222.92 on November 9, 2026, 42% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $106.22 | -52% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $157.35 | -29% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $252.57 | +13% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $196.07 | $208.14 | $222.89 | $241.33 | $265.04 |
| 8.0% | $166.98 | $174.81 | $184.06 | $195.17 | $208.73 |
| 9.0% | $145.82 | $151.18 | $157.35 | $164.56 | $173.07 |
| 10.0% | $129.78 | $133.59 | $137.90 | $142.83 | $148.52 |
| 11.0% | $117.23 | $120.02 | $123.14 | $126.64 | $130.62 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Celestica Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions