What is C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $87.13 per share. The share price was $128.99 on November 10, 2026, 48% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -5.0% | 10.0% | $49.27 | -62% |
| Base | 0.0% | 9.0% | $87.13 | -32% |
| Bull | 5.0% | 8.0% | $157.80 | +22% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $113.31 | $121.16 | $130.75 | $142.74 | $158.15 |
| 8.0% | $93.89 | $98.98 | $104.99 | $112.21 | $121.03 |
| 9.0% | $79.64 | $83.11 | $87.13 | $91.81 | $97.35 |
| 10.0% | $68.73 | $71.21 | $74.01 | $77.22 | $80.92 |
| 11.0% | $60.13 | $61.94 | $63.97 | $66.25 | $68.83 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (0.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions