What is Church & Dwight Co Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Church & Dwight Co Inc's reported free cash flow gives $75.25 per share. The share price was $111.76 on November 10, 2026, 49% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $43.70 | -61% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $75.25 | -33% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $134.15 | +20% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $97.82 | $104.69 | $113.09 | $123.59 | $137.08 |
| 8.0% | $80.99 | $85.45 | $90.71 | $97.03 | $104.76 |
| 9.0% | $68.69 | $71.73 | $75.25 | $79.35 | $84.20 |
| 10.0% | $59.31 | $61.47 | $63.93 | $66.73 | $69.97 |
| 11.0% | $51.93 | $53.51 | $55.29 | $57.29 | $59.55 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Church & Dwight Co Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions