What is Church & Dwight Co Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Church & Dwight Co Inc's reported free cash flow gives $74.47 per share. The share price was $96.38 on September 25, 2026, 29% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $42.92 | -55% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $74.47 | -23% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $133.37 | +38% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $97.04 | $103.91 | $112.31 | $122.80 | $136.30 |
| 8.0% | $80.21 | $84.67 | $89.93 | $96.25 | $103.97 |
| 9.0% | $67.90 | $70.95 | $74.47 | $78.57 | $83.41 |
| 10.0% | $58.52 | $60.69 | $63.14 | $65.95 | $69.19 |
| 11.0% | $51.14 | $52.73 | $54.50 | $56.50 | $58.76 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Church & Dwight Co Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions