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DCF valuation

What is Community Healthcare Trust Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Community Healthcare Trust Inc's reported free cash flow gives $12.31 per share. The share price was $15.17 on November 10, 2026, 23% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$35.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$42.3M
Cash
$1.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$558.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
26,857,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
9.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear5.0%3.5%2.0%10.0%-$0.52-103%
Base10.0%6.5%2.5%9.0%$12.31-19%
Bull15.0%9.0%3.0%8.0%$36.25+139%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$21.77$24.69$28.25$32.71$38.44
8.0%$14.69$16.58$18.82$21.50$24.78
9.0%$9.52$10.82$12.31$14.05$16.11
10.0%$5.60$6.52$7.56$8.75$10.13
11.0%$2.52$3.19$3.95$4.79$5.76

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Community Healthcare Trust Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Community Healthcare Trust Inc company page