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Stocks CHCO DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is City Holding Co worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on City Holding Co's reported free cash flow gives $157.63 per share. The share price was $142.59 on November 10, 2026, 10% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$128.4M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$121M
Cash
$201.4M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$150M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
14,482,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
3.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-1.0%0.5%2.0%10.0%$98.88-31%
Base4.0%3.5%2.5%9.0%$157.63+11%
Bull9.0%6.0%3.0%8.0%$267.32+87%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$199.39$212.07$227.56$246.92$271.82
8.0%$168.28$176.50$186.22$197.87$212.12
9.0%$145.52$151.14$157.63$165.19$174.13
10.0%$128.16$132.16$136.69$141.86$147.84
11.0%$114.49$117.42$120.69$124.38$128.55

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at City Holding Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

City Holding Co company page