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What is Constellation Energy Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Constellation Energy Corp's reported free cash flow gives $28.23 per share. The share price was $263.27 on September 25, 2026, 833% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.29B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$3.63B
Cash
$697M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$19.11B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
314,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
7.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear2.5%2.5%2.0%10.0%-$4.44-102%
Base7.5%5.0%2.5%9.0%$28.23-89%
Bull12.5%8.0%3.0%8.0%$93.36-65%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$52.51$59.94$69.03$80.38$94.98
8.0%$34.37$39.19$44.89$51.73$60.08
9.0%$21.13$24.43$28.23$32.66$37.91
10.0%$11.05$13.39$16.05$19.08$22.58
11.0%$3.12$4.84$6.76$8.92$11.37

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Constellation Energy Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Constellation Energy Corp company page