What is Cadre Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Cadre Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $27.27 per share. The share price was $33.44 on November 10, 2026, 23% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 6.0% | 10.0% | $13.91 | -58% |
| Base | 11.0% | 9.0% | $27.27 | -18% |
| Bull | 16.0% | 8.0% | $52.16 | +56% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $37.16 | $40.22 | $43.96 | $48.64 | $54.65 |
| 8.0% | $29.75 | $31.73 | $34.08 | $36.89 | $40.33 |
| 9.0% | $24.34 | $25.70 | $27.27 | $29.09 | $31.25 |
| 10.0% | $20.24 | $21.20 | $22.30 | $23.55 | $24.99 |
| 11.0% | $17.02 | $17.73 | $18.52 | $19.41 | $20.41 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Cadre Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (10.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions