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DCF valuation

What is Comcast Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Comcast Corp's reported free cash flow gives $76.45 per share. The share price was $64.67 on September 8, 2026, 15% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$21.89B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$17.88B
Cash
$7.66B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$90.4B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
3,709,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
3.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-1.5%0.5%2.0%10.0%$39.79-38%
Base3.5%3.0%2.5%9.0%$76.45+18%
Bull8.5%6.0%3.0%8.0%$149.52+131%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$103.00$111.04$120.86$133.14$148.93
8.0%$83.24$88.45$94.61$102.00$111.04
9.0%$68.77$72.34$76.45$81.24$86.91
10.0%$57.73$60.26$63.14$66.42$70.21
11.0%$49.03$50.89$52.96$55.30$57.95

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Comcast Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Comcast Corp company page