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What is Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$9.18 per share. The share price was $2.36 on September 25, 2026, 126% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$32M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
-$98.4M
Cash
$192.1M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$5.11B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
495,406,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-2.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-8.0%-3.0%2.0%10.0%-$9.46-501%
Base-3.0%-0.0%2.5%9.0%-$9.18-489%
Bull2.0%2.5%3.0%8.0%-$8.67-467%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%-$9.00-$8.94-$8.88-$8.79-$8.68
8.0%-$9.13-$9.10-$9.06-$9.01-$8.94
9.0%-$9.23-$9.21-$9.18-$9.15-$9.11
10.0%-$9.31-$9.29-$9.27-$9.25-$9.23
11.0%-$9.37-$9.36-$9.35-$9.33-$9.31

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-2.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. company page