What is Crown Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Crown Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $135.38 per share. The share price was $108.06 on September 25, 2026, 20% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $67.46 | -38% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $135.38 | +25% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $270.78 | +151% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $185.22 | $200.40 | $218.95 | $242.14 | $271.95 |
| 8.0% | $148.06 | $157.90 | $169.53 | $183.49 | $200.55 |
| 9.0% | $120.88 | $127.61 | $135.38 | $144.44 | $155.14 |
| 10.0% | $100.17 | $104.95 | $110.38 | $116.58 | $123.73 |
| 11.0% | $83.87 | $87.38 | $91.30 | $95.71 | $100.71 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Crown Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions