What is Crown Holdings, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Crown Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $136.70 per share. The share price was $123.40 on November 9, 2026, 10% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $68.78 | -44% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $136.70 | +11% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $272.10 | +121% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $186.55 | $201.72 | $220.27 | $243.46 | $273.27 |
| 8.0% | $149.38 | $159.22 | $170.85 | $184.81 | $201.87 |
| 9.0% | $122.20 | $128.93 | $136.70 | $145.76 | $156.46 |
| 10.0% | $101.49 | $106.28 | $111.70 | $117.90 | $125.05 |
| 11.0% | $85.19 | $88.70 | $92.62 | $97.03 | $102.03 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Crown Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions