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DCF valuation

What is Cbre Group, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Cbre Group, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $89.62 per share. The share price was $134.55 on September 25, 2026, 50% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.19B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$1.26B
Cash
$1.49B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$5.8B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
300,751,541
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
11.2%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear6.0%4.0%2.0%10.0%$49.16-63%
Base11.0%7.0%2.5%9.0%$89.62-33%
Bull16.0%9.5%3.0%8.0%$165.07+23%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$119.62$128.89$140.22$154.38$172.60
8.0%$97.14$103.16$110.26$118.79$129.21
9.0%$80.77$84.88$89.62$95.15$101.69
10.0%$68.32$71.25$74.56$78.35$82.71
11.0%$58.57$60.71$63.10$65.80$68.85

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Cbre Group, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (11.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Cbre Group, Inc. company page