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Stocks CBOE DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Cboe Global Markets, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Cboe Global Markets, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $327.43 per share. The share price was $253.26 on September 28, 2026, 23% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$1.68B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$977.8M
Cash
$2.28B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$1.44B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
105,100,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
6.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear1.5%2.0%2.0%10.0%$207.64-18%
Base6.5%4.5%2.5%9.0%$327.43+29%
Bull11.5%7.5%3.0%8.0%$566.29+124%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$415.92$442.94$475.96$517.24$570.31
8.0%$349.89$367.41$388.11$412.96$443.33
9.0%$301.63$313.61$327.43$343.56$362.62
10.0%$264.87$273.39$283.05$294.08$306.81
11.0%$235.97$242.21$249.19$257.04$265.94

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Cboe Global Markets, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (6.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. company page