What is BlueLinx Holdings Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on BlueLinx Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $55.39 per share. The share price was $76.35 on September 25, 2026, 38% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -6.0% | 10.0% | $35.69 | -53% |
| Base | -1.0% | 9.0% | $55.39 | -27% |
| Bull | 4.0% | 8.0% | $92.16 | +21% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $68.91 | $72.95 | $77.89 | $84.06 | $91.99 |
| 8.0% | $58.89 | $61.51 | $64.60 | $68.32 | $72.86 |
| 9.0% | $51.53 | $53.32 | $55.39 | $57.80 | $60.65 |
| 10.0% | $45.90 | $47.17 | $48.61 | $50.26 | $52.17 |
| 11.0% | $41.44 | $42.38 | $43.42 | $44.59 | $45.93 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at BlueLinx Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions