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DCF valuation

What is BlueLinx Holdings Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on BlueLinx Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $59.30 per share. The share price was $63.42 on November 10, 2026, 7% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$32.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$170.3M
Cash
$349.8M
balance sheet of October 3, 2026
Debt
$297.3M
balance sheet of October 3, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
8,039,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-0.9%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-6.0%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$39.60-38%
Base-1.0%1.0%2.5%9.0%$59.30-7%
Bull4.0%3.5%3.0%8.0%$96.06+51%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$72.82$76.86$81.80$87.97$95.90
8.0%$62.80$65.42$68.51$72.23$76.77
9.0%$55.44$57.23$59.30$61.71$64.56
10.0%$49.80$51.08$52.52$54.17$56.08
11.0%$45.35$46.29$47.33$48.50$49.83

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at BlueLinx Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

BlueLinx Holdings Inc. company page