What is Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.'s reported free cash flow gives $63.89 per share. The share price was $42.57 on September 25, 2026, 33% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $38.01 | -11% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $63.89 | +50% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $112.09 | +163% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $83.49 | $89.60 | $97.07 | $106.40 | $118.40 |
| 8.0% | $68.77 | $72.73 | $77.41 | $83.03 | $89.90 |
| 9.0% | $58.06 | $60.77 | $63.89 | $67.54 | $71.85 |
| 10.0% | $49.94 | $51.86 | $54.05 | $56.54 | $59.42 |
| 11.0% | $43.58 | $44.99 | $46.57 | $48.35 | $50.36 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (41.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions