What is Borgwarner Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Borgwarner Inc's reported free cash flow gives $106.41 per share. The share price was $50.51 on November 10, 2026, 53% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | $62.91 | +25% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | $106.41 | +111% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | $187.62 | +271% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $137.93 | $147.57 | $159.36 | $174.10 | $193.04 |
| 8.0% | $114.39 | $120.65 | $128.04 | $136.91 | $147.75 |
| 9.0% | $97.20 | $101.48 | $106.41 | $112.17 | $118.97 |
| 10.0% | $84.11 | $87.15 | $90.60 | $94.54 | $99.08 |
| 11.0% | $73.83 | $76.06 | $78.55 | $81.35 | $84.53 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Borgwarner Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions