What is Borgwarner Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Borgwarner Inc's reported free cash flow gives $95.11 per share. The share price was $61.32 on September 25, 2026, 36% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | $51.60 | -16% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | $95.11 | +55% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | $176.31 | +188% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $126.62 | $136.27 | $148.06 | $162.79 | $181.74 |
| 8.0% | $103.09 | $109.34 | $116.74 | $125.61 | $136.45 |
| 9.0% | $85.90 | $90.17 | $95.11 | $100.87 | $107.67 |
| 10.0% | $72.81 | $75.85 | $79.30 | $83.24 | $87.78 |
| 11.0% | $62.52 | $64.75 | $67.24 | $70.05 | $73.22 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Borgwarner Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions