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DCF valuation

What is Bitcoin Depot Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Bitcoin Depot Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $50.29 per share. The share price was $0.02 on August 24, 2026, 100% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$28.5M
Average free cash flow, last 4 years
$27.9M
Cash
$65.6M
balance sheet of December 31, 2025
Debt
$60.5M
balance sheet of December 31, 2025
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
7,147,534
Revenue growth per year, last 3 years
-1.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-6.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$32.28+161,282%
Base-1.5%0.5%2.5%9.0%$50.29+251,362%
Bull3.5%3.5%3.0%8.0%$86.14+430,617%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$62.88$66.63$71.21$76.93$84.29
8.0%$53.56$55.99$58.86$62.31$66.52
9.0%$46.71$48.38$50.29$52.53$55.17
10.0%$41.47$42.65$43.99$45.52$47.29
11.0%$37.32$38.19$39.16$40.25$41.48

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Bitcoin Depot Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 3 fiscal years (-1.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Bitcoin Depot Inc. company page