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DCF valuation

What is Bentley Systems Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Bentley Systems Inc's reported free cash flow gives $43.71 per share. The share price was $31.44 on September 25, 2026, 28% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$520.2M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$371.9M
Cash
$147M
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$1.22B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
333,089,213
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
13.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear8.5%5.5%2.0%10.0%$25.81-18%
Base13.5%8.0%2.5%9.0%$43.71+39%
Bull18.5%11.0%3.0%8.0%$79.36+152%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$57.47$61.75$66.97$73.50$81.90
8.0%$47.15$49.92$53.19$57.13$61.93
9.0%$39.63$41.52$43.71$46.26$49.28
10.0%$33.92$35.27$36.79$38.54$40.56
11.0%$29.45$30.44$31.54$32.78$34.19

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Bentley Systems Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (13.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Bentley Systems Inc company page