What is Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $14.77 per share. The share price was $18.91 on September 25, 2026, 28% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.0% | 10.0% | $3.86 | -80% |
| Base | 7.0% | 9.0% | $14.77 | -22% |
| Bull | 12.0% | 8.0% | $35.12 | +86% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $22.66 | $25.08 | $28.04 | $31.73 | $36.48 |
| 8.0% | $16.77 | $18.33 | $20.19 | $22.41 | $25.13 |
| 9.0% | $12.46 | $13.53 | $14.77 | $16.21 | $17.91 |
| 10.0% | $9.18 | $9.94 | $10.80 | $11.79 | $12.93 |
| 11.0% | $6.60 | $7.16 | $7.78 | $8.48 | $9.28 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions