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DCF valuation

What is Blackline, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Blackline, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $84.15 per share. The share price was $27.33 on November 10, 2026, 68% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$161.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$117.5M
Cash
$211.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$0
not reported, counted as 0
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
65,921,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
14.8%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$52.39+92%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$84.15+208%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$143.29+424%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$108.19$115.69$124.86$136.31$151.04
8.0%$90.13$94.99$100.74$107.63$116.06
9.0%$76.99$80.31$84.15$88.62$93.91
10.0%$67.02$69.39$72.06$75.13$78.66
11.0%$59.22$60.96$62.89$65.07$67.54

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Blackline, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (14.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Blackline, Inc. company page