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What is Booking Holdings Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Booking Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $9,107.57 per share. The share price was $163.95 on September 25, 2026, 98% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$9.09B
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$6.54B
Cash
$17.21B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$20.18B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
32,639,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
31.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$5,498.10+3,254%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$9,107.57+5,455%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$15,828.55+9,554%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$11,840.36$12,692.46$13,733.91$15,035.73$16,709.49
8.0%$9,787.47$10,340.05$10,993.10$11,776.76$12,734.57
9.0%$8,293.82$8,671.64$9,107.57$9,616.17$10,217.24
10.0%$7,161.24$7,429.92$7,734.42$8,082.43$8,483.97
11.0%$6,275.05$6,472.02$6,692.16$6,939.83$7,220.51

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Booking Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (31.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Booking Holdings Inc. company page