What is Brookdale Senior Living Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Brookdale Senior Living Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives -$16.28 per share. The share price was $9.38 on November 10, 2026, 158% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -7.0% | 10.0% | -$16.59 | -277% |
| Base | -2.0% | 9.0% | -$16.28 | -274% |
| Bull | 3.0% | 8.0% | -$15.68 | -267% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | -$16.06 | -$16.00 | -$15.92 | -$15.82 | -$15.69 |
| 8.0% | -$16.22 | -$16.18 | -$16.13 | -$16.07 | -$16.00 |
| 9.0% | -$16.34 | -$16.31 | -$16.28 | -$16.24 | -$16.19 |
| 10.0% | -$16.43 | -$16.41 | -$16.38 | -$16.36 | -$16.33 |
| 11.0% | -$16.50 | -$16.48 | -$16.47 | -$16.45 | -$16.43 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Brookdale Senior Living Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-2.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions