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Stocks BILL DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is BILL Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on BILL Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $127.17 per share. The share price was $52.90 on November 10, 2026, 58% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$412.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$238.7M
Cash
$915.5M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.84B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
99,918,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
47.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$73.65+39%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$127.17+140%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$226.83+329%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$167.69$180.33$195.77$215.08$239.90
8.0%$137.25$145.45$155.13$166.75$180.95
9.0%$115.10$120.71$127.17$134.71$143.63
10.0%$98.31$102.29$106.81$111.97$117.92
11.0%$85.17$88.09$91.35$95.03$99.19

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at BILL Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (47.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

BILL Holdings, Inc. company page