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Stocks BILL DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is BILL Holdings, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on BILL Holdings, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $128.34 per share. The share price was $44.25 on September 25, 2026, 66% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$412.5M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$238.7M
Cash
$1.03B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Debt
$1.84B
balance sheet of June 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
99,918,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
47.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$74.82+69%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$128.34+190%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$228.00+415%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$168.86$181.50$196.94$216.25$241.07
8.0%$138.42$146.62$156.30$167.92$182.12
9.0%$116.27$121.88$128.34$135.88$144.80
10.0%$99.48$103.46$107.98$113.14$119.09
11.0%$86.34$89.26$92.52$96.20$100.36

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at BILL Holdings, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (47.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

BILL Holdings, Inc. company page