What is BOISE CASCADE Co worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on BOISE CASCADE Co's reported free cash flow gives $1.72 per share. The share price was $77.14 on September 25, 2026, 4,390% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -2.0% | 10.0% | -$0.38 | -100% |
| Base | 3.0% | 9.0% | $1.72 | -98% |
| Bull | 8.0% | 8.0% | $5.64 | -93% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $3.20 | $3.65 | $4.20 | $4.89 | $5.77 |
| 8.0% | $2.10 | $2.39 | $2.73 | $3.15 | $3.65 |
| 9.0% | $1.29 | $1.49 | $1.72 | $1.99 | $2.30 |
| 10.0% | $0.67 | $0.81 | $0.97 | $1.16 | $1.37 |
| 11.0% | $0.18 | $0.29 | $0.40 | $0.54 | $0.68 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at BOISE CASCADE Co's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (3.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions