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Stocks BC DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Brunswick Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Brunswick Corp's reported free cash flow gives $79.23 per share. The share price was $67.19 on September 25, 2026, 15% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$396.3M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$321.9M
Cash
$288.1M
balance sheet of July 4, 2026
Debt
$2.1B
balance sheet of July 4, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
65,900,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
4.3%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-0.5%0.5%2.0%10.0%$38.53-43%
Base4.5%3.5%2.5%9.0%$79.23+18%
Bull9.5%6.5%3.0%8.0%$158.50+136%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$108.22$117.03$127.78$141.23$158.52
8.0%$86.62$92.33$99.08$107.17$117.07
9.0%$70.82$74.72$79.23$84.48$90.69
10.0%$58.77$61.54$64.69$68.29$72.43
11.0%$49.28$51.31$53.59$56.15$59.05

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Brunswick Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (4.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Brunswick Corp company page