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What is Baxter International Inc worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Baxter International Inc's reported free cash flow gives $10.75 per share. The share price was $25.82 on November 10, 2026, 140% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$332M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$912.8M
Cash
$1.98B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$844M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
513,000,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-0.7%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-5.5%-2.0%2.0%10.0%$7.56-71%
Base-0.5%1.0%2.5%9.0%$10.75-58%
Bull4.5%4.0%3.0%8.0%$16.96-34%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$12.94$13.60$14.40$15.40$16.69
8.0%$11.31$11.74$12.24$12.85$13.58
9.0%$10.12$10.41$10.75$11.14$11.60
10.0%$9.21$9.41$9.65$9.91$10.22
11.0%$8.48$8.63$8.80$8.99$9.21

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Baxter International Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-0.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Baxter International Inc company page