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DCF valuation

What is Avient Corp worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Avient Corp's reported free cash flow gives $31.66 per share. The share price was $45.73 on November 10, 2026, 44% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$195M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$167.6M
Cash
$445.7M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.83B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
91,800,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
8.0%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear3.0%2.5%2.0%10.0%$13.62-70%
Base8.0%5.5%2.5%9.0%$31.66-31%
Bull13.0%8.0%3.0%8.0%$65.33+43%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$44.81$48.84$53.77$59.94$67.86
8.0%$34.98$37.60$40.69$44.40$48.93
9.0%$27.81$29.60$31.66$34.07$36.91
10.0%$22.35$23.62$25.06$26.71$28.61
11.0%$18.06$19.00$20.04$21.21$22.54

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Avient Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Avient Corp company page