What is Aptargroup, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Aptargroup, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $68.36 per share. The share price was $123.87 on September 25, 2026, 81% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.0% | 10.0% | $36.70 | -70% |
| Base | 5.0% | 9.0% | $68.36 | -45% |
| Bull | 10.0% | 8.0% | $127.47 | +3% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $91.01 | $97.91 | $106.34 | $116.87 | $130.41 |
| 8.0% | $74.13 | $78.60 | $83.88 | $90.22 | $97.97 |
| 9.0% | $61.78 | $64.83 | $68.36 | $72.48 | $77.34 |
| 10.0% | $52.36 | $54.54 | $57.00 | $59.82 | $63.07 |
| 11.0% | $44.95 | $46.55 | $48.33 | $50.33 | $52.60 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Aptargroup, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions