What is Atkore Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Atkore Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $202.59 per share. The share price was $94.57 on September 25, 2026, 53% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.0% | 10.0% | $119.20 | +26% |
| Base | 10.0% | 9.0% | $202.59 | +114% |
| Bull | 15.0% | 8.0% | $358.12 | +279% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $264.06 | $283.02 | $306.19 | $335.15 | $372.38 |
| 8.0% | $218.04 | $230.33 | $244.86 | $262.30 | $283.60 |
| 9.0% | $184.48 | $192.89 | $202.59 | $213.90 | $227.27 |
| 10.0% | $158.97 | $164.95 | $171.73 | $179.47 | $188.40 |
| 11.0% | $138.96 | $143.34 | $148.24 | $153.75 | $160.00 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Atkore Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.1% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions