What is Aptiv PLC worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Aptiv PLC's reported free cash flow gives $143.69 per share. The share price was $39.57 on November 10, 2026, 72% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 4.5% | 10.0% | $81.34 | +106% |
| Base | 9.5% | 9.0% | $143.69 | +263% |
| Bull | 14.5% | 8.0% | $268.00 | +577% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $190.59 | $205.02 | $222.66 | $244.71 | $273.06 |
| 8.0% | $155.51 | $164.87 | $175.93 | $189.20 | $205.42 |
| 9.0% | $129.91 | $136.31 | $143.69 | $152.31 | $162.49 |
| 10.0% | $110.45 | $115.00 | $120.15 | $126.05 | $132.85 |
| 11.0% | $95.17 | $98.50 | $102.23 | $106.43 | $111.18 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Aptiv PLC's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (9.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions