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DCF valuation

What is Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $33.14 per share. The share price was $19.73 on November 10, 2026, 40% below that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$282M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$287.9M
Cash
$42.7M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$1.48B
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
237,789,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
18.6%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear10.0%6.0%2.0%10.0%$17.77-10%
Base15.0%9.0%2.5%9.0%$33.14+68%
Bull20.0%11.5%3.0%8.0%$61.78+213%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$44.79$48.42$52.85$58.40$65.53
8.0%$36.04$38.39$41.18$44.52$48.60
9.0%$29.68$31.29$33.14$35.31$37.87
10.0%$24.85$26.00$27.29$28.78$30.49
11.0%$21.08$21.92$22.85$23.91$25.11

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (18.6% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. company page