What is American Outdoor Brands, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on American Outdoor Brands, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $6.09 per share. The share price was $17.55 on September 25, 2026, 188% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10.0% | 10.0% | $4.83 | -72% |
| Base | -5.0% | 9.0% | $6.09 | -65% |
| Bull | 0.0% | 8.0% | $8.45 | -52% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $6.93 | $7.18 | $7.48 | $7.86 | $8.34 |
| 8.0% | $6.32 | $6.48 | $6.66 | $6.89 | $7.17 |
| 9.0% | $5.86 | $5.97 | $6.09 | $6.24 | $6.42 |
| 10.0% | $5.51 | $5.59 | $5.68 | $5.78 | $5.89 |
| 11.0% | $5.23 | $5.29 | $5.35 | $5.42 | $5.51 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at American Outdoor Brands, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-7.2% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions