What is Smith A O Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Smith A O Corp's reported free cash flow gives $72.00 per share. The share price was $58.65 on September 25, 2026, 19% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 1.0% | 10.0% | $43.13 | -26% |
| Base | 6.0% | 9.0% | $72.00 | +23% |
| Bull | 11.0% | 8.0% | $125.90 | +115% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $92.79 | $99.13 | $106.89 | $116.58 | $129.05 |
| 8.0% | $77.28 | $81.39 | $86.25 | $92.09 | $99.22 |
| 9.0% | $65.94 | $68.75 | $72.00 | $75.79 | $80.26 |
| 10.0% | $57.30 | $59.30 | $61.57 | $64.16 | $67.15 |
| 11.0% | $50.51 | $51.98 | $53.62 | $55.46 | $57.55 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Smith A O Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.8% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions