What is Ametek Inc/ worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ametek Inc/'s reported free cash flow gives $159.25 per share. The share price was $238.31 on November 10, 2026, 50% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $90.11 | -62% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $159.25 | -33% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $297.08 | +25% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $211.56 | $227.70 | $247.42 | $272.07 | $303.76 |
| 8.0% | $172.40 | $182.86 | $195.23 | $210.07 | $228.20 |
| 9.0% | $143.84 | $151.00 | $159.25 | $168.88 | $180.26 |
| 10.0% | $122.14 | $127.23 | $132.99 | $139.58 | $147.18 |
| 11.0% | $105.11 | $108.84 | $113.01 | $117.70 | $123.01 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ametek Inc/'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions