What is Ametek Inc/ worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Ametek Inc/'s reported free cash flow gives $180.02 per share. The share price was $250.74 on September 25, 2026, 39% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $110.88 | -56% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $180.02 | -28% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $317.85 | +27% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $232.33 | $248.47 | $268.19 | $292.84 | $324.53 |
| 8.0% | $193.17 | $203.63 | $216.00 | $230.84 | $248.97 |
| 9.0% | $164.61 | $171.77 | $180.02 | $189.65 | $201.03 |
| 10.0% | $142.91 | $148.00 | $153.76 | $160.35 | $167.95 |
| 11.0% | $125.88 | $129.61 | $133.78 | $138.47 | $143.78 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Ametek Inc/'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions