What is Autoliv Inc worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Autoliv Inc's reported free cash flow gives $177.86 per share. The share price was $121.27 on November 10, 2026, 32% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 2.5% | 10.0% | $103.71 | -14% |
| Base | 7.5% | 9.0% | $177.86 | +47% |
| Bull | 12.5% | 8.0% | $325.71 | +169% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $232.98 | $249.85 | $270.47 | $296.25 | $329.39 |
| 8.0% | $191.81 | $202.76 | $215.69 | $231.20 | $250.17 |
| 9.0% | $161.75 | $169.23 | $177.86 | $187.93 | $199.84 |
| 10.0% | $138.86 | $144.18 | $150.21 | $157.10 | $165.05 |
| 11.0% | $120.88 | $124.78 | $129.14 | $134.04 | $139.60 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Autoliv Inc's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (7.7% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions