What is Alta Equipment Group Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Alta Equipment Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2.98 per share. The share price was $5.05 on November 10, 2026, 70% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$6.45 | -228% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $2.98 | -41% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $20.54 | +307% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $10.12 | $12.35 | $15.07 | $18.47 | $22.84 |
| 8.0% | $4.76 | $6.20 | $7.91 | $9.95 | $12.46 |
| 9.0% | $0.85 | $1.84 | $2.98 | $4.31 | $5.88 |
| 10.0% | -$2.11 | -$1.41 | -$0.61 | $0.30 | $1.35 |
| 11.0% | -$4.42 | -$3.91 | -$3.33 | -$2.69 | -$1.95 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Alta Equipment Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions