What is Alta Equipment Group Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Alta Equipment Group Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $2.34 per share. The share price was $6.22 on September 25, 2026, 166% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | -$7.09 | -214% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $2.34 | -62% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $19.91 | +220% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $9.48 | $11.71 | $14.43 | $17.83 | $22.21 |
| 8.0% | $4.12 | $5.56 | $7.27 | $9.32 | $11.82 |
| 9.0% | $0.22 | $1.20 | $2.34 | $3.67 | $5.24 |
| 10.0% | -$2.74 | -$2.04 | -$1.25 | -$0.34 | $0.71 |
| 11.0% | -$5.06 | -$4.54 | -$3.97 | -$3.32 | -$2.59 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Alta Equipment Group Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (16.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions