What is AstroNova, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on AstroNova, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $26.13 per share. The share price was $28.99 on August 26, 2026, 11% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 0.5% | 10.0% | $15.58 | -46% |
| Base | 5.5% | 9.0% | $26.13 | -10% |
| Bull | 10.5% | 8.0% | $47.14 | +63% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $33.86 | $36.22 | $39.10 | $42.70 | $47.32 |
| 8.0% | $28.09 | $29.62 | $31.43 | $33.59 | $36.24 |
| 9.0% | $23.88 | $24.92 | $26.13 | $27.53 | $29.19 |
| 10.0% | $20.66 | $21.40 | $22.24 | $23.21 | $24.32 |
| 11.0% | $18.13 | $18.67 | $19.28 | $19.97 | $20.74 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at AstroNova, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (5.3% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions