What is Alkami Technology, Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Alkami Technology, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $13.59 per share. The share price was $13.80 on September 25, 2026, 2% above that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 10.0% | 10.0% | $8.43 | -39% |
| Base | 15.0% | 9.0% | $13.59 | -2% |
| Bull | 20.0% | 8.0% | $23.20 | +68% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $17.50 | $18.72 | $20.21 | $22.07 | $24.46 |
| 8.0% | $14.56 | $15.35 | $16.29 | $17.41 | $18.78 |
| 9.0% | $12.43 | $12.97 | $13.59 | $14.32 | $15.18 |
| 10.0% | $10.81 | $11.19 | $11.63 | $12.13 | $12.70 |
| 11.0% | $9.54 | $9.82 | $10.14 | $10.49 | $10.89 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Alkami Technology, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 4 fiscal years (41.0% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions