What is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $24.67 per share. The share price was $21.86 on September 25, 2026, 11% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 7.0% | 10.0% | $15.63 | -28% |
| Base | 12.0% | 9.0% | $24.67 | +13% |
| Bull | 17.0% | 8.0% | $42.66 | +95% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $31.55 | $33.68 | $36.28 | $39.53 | $43.71 |
| 8.0% | $26.39 | $27.77 | $29.40 | $31.36 | $33.75 |
| 9.0% | $22.63 | $23.58 | $24.67 | $25.94 | $27.44 |
| 10.0% | $19.78 | $20.45 | $21.21 | $22.08 | $23.08 |
| 11.0% | $17.54 | $18.03 | $18.58 | $19.20 | $19.90 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 2 fiscal years (11.9% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions