Invesaro

Stocks ALGM DCF valuation

DCF valuation

What is Allegro Microsystems, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Allegro Microsystems, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $14.68 per share. The share price was $30.70 on November 10, 2026, 109% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$124.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$80.7M
Cash
$193M
balance sheet of September 25, 2026
Debt
$281.3M
balance sheet of September 25, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
185,035,670
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
8.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear3.5%3.0%2.0%10.0%$8.96-71%
Base8.5%5.5%2.5%9.0%$14.68-52%
Bull13.5%8.5%3.0%8.0%$26.08-15%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$18.96$20.27$21.87$23.87$26.45
8.0%$15.76$16.61$17.62$18.82$20.30
9.0%$13.43$14.01$14.68$15.46$16.39
10.0%$11.65$12.07$12.54$13.07$13.69
11.0%$10.26$10.56$10.90$11.28$11.72

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Allegro Microsystems, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Allegro Microsystems, Inc. company page