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What is Allegro Microsystems, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Allegro Microsystems, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $14.51 per share. The share price was $36.76 on September 25, 2026, 153% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2026
$124.9M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$80.7M
Cash
$162M
balance sheet of June 26, 2026
Debt
$281.1M
balance sheet of June 26, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2026
185,035,670
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
8.5%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear3.5%3.0%2.0%10.0%$8.80-76%
Base8.5%5.5%2.5%9.0%$14.51-61%
Bull13.5%8.5%3.0%8.0%$25.91-30%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$18.79$20.10$21.70$23.71$26.28
8.0%$15.59$16.44$17.45$18.66$20.13
9.0%$13.26$13.84$14.51$15.30$16.22
10.0%$11.49$11.90$12.37$12.91$13.52
11.0%$10.09$10.40$10.74$11.12$11.55

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Allegro Microsystems, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (8.5% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Allegro Microsystems, Inc. company page