What is Albemarle Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Albemarle Corp's reported free cash flow gives $146.47 per share. The share price was $109.73 on September 25, 2026, 25% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $90.17 | -18% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $146.47 | +33% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $258.69 | +136% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $189.06 | $202.20 | $218.25 | $238.32 | $264.13 |
| 8.0% | $157.17 | $165.69 | $175.76 | $187.84 | $202.61 |
| 9.0% | $133.92 | $139.75 | $146.47 | $154.31 | $163.57 |
| 10.0% | $116.25 | $120.39 | $125.08 | $130.45 | $136.64 |
| 11.0% | $102.38 | $105.42 | $108.81 | $112.63 | $116.96 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Albemarle Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions