What is Albemarle Corp worth?
With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Albemarle Corp's reported free cash flow gives $148.25 per share. The share price was $94.93 on November 10, 2026, 36% below that value.
Inputs from the filings
Three sets of assumptions
| Case | Growth yrs 1-5 | Discount rate | Value per share | Value vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | 5.5% | 10.0% | $91.95 | -3% |
| Base | 10.5% | 9.0% | $148.25 | +56% |
| Bull | 15.5% | 8.0% | $260.47 | +174% |
Sensitivity: base case value per share
| 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $190.84 | $203.98 | $220.03 | $240.11 | $265.91 |
| 8.0% | $158.96 | $167.47 | $177.54 | $189.62 | $204.39 |
| 9.0% | $135.70 | $141.53 | $148.25 | $156.09 | $165.36 |
| 10.0% | $118.03 | $122.17 | $126.87 | $132.23 | $138.42 |
| 11.0% | $104.17 | $107.20 | $110.60 | $114.42 | $118.74 |
Where the presets come from
Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Albemarle Corp's revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (10.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.
Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.
Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.
This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.
Adjust the assumptions
Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.
Adjust the assumptions