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DCF valuation

What is Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. worth?

With the base-case assumptions below, a discounted cash flow model on Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.'s reported free cash flow gives $15.21 per share. The share price was $28.94 on November 10, 2026, 90% above that value.

Inputs from the filings

Free cash flow, fiscal 2025
$173.6M
Average free cash flow, last 5 years
$434.4M
Cash
$233.6M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Debt
$673.1M
balance sheet of September 30, 2026
Diluted shares, fiscal 2025
87,293,000
Revenue growth per year, last 5 years
-47.4%

Three sets of assumptions

CaseGrowth yrs 1-5Growth yrs 6-10After year 10Discount rateValue per shareValue vs price
Bear-10.0%-4.0%2.0%10.0%$7.81-73%
Base-5.0%-1.0%2.5%9.0%$15.21-47%
Bull0.0%1.5%3.0%8.0%$28.99+0%

Sensitivity: base case value per share

Discount rate down the side, growth after year 10 across the top. Everything else as in the base case.

1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%$20.13$21.58$23.34$25.56$28.40
8.0%$16.50$17.44$18.55$19.88$21.50
9.0%$13.82$14.47$15.21$16.07$17.09
10.0%$11.77$12.23$12.74$13.34$14.02
11.0%$10.14$10.48$10.85$11.27$11.75

Where the presets come from

Base: years 1 to 5 grow at Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.'s revenue growth rate over the last 5 fiscal years (-47.4% a year), held between -5% and 15%. Years 6 to 10 grow halfway between that and the long-run rate of 2.5%. Future cash is discounted at 9% a year.

Bear: 5 points less growth, 2% long-run growth, 10% discount rate. Bull: 5 points more growth (at most 25%), 3% long-run growth, 8% discount rate.

Value per share = (present value of 10 years of free cash flow + present value of everything after + cash - debt) / diluted shares.

This is a model run on assumptions, not a recommendation or a price target. Small changes in the discount rate or growth move the result a lot, as the table above shows. Change them yourself in the calculator.

Adjust the assumptions

Move the sliders for growth, long-run growth and discount rate, or switch to average free cash flow, and see the value per share change.

Adjust the assumptions

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. company page